MBS Day Ahead: With or Without Turkey, Bonds Face Same Challenges

Posted To: MBS CommentaryTurkish Lira bounced in the overnight session–not in any epic fashion, but enough to result in a bit of spillover for stocks/bonds. 10yr yields rose as high as 2.9022 before cooling back down. Notably, yields fell even as Lira maintained its token recovery. This simply reiterates yesterday’s point that US markets have their own agenda . Although they may periodically pay some attention to big swings in Turkey, they have already shown an ample willingness to trade against the grain of Lira volatility. With that in mind, the recent floor around 2.85% looks like the next major technical level for 10yr yields, whether we’re looking at US markets keeping a close eye on Turkey or not caring at all. In other words, this was a bounce that bonds had decided on yesterday, independent of further…(read more)Forward this article via email:¬†¬†Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

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Michael Ayoub, Author NMLS ID 6631