MBS Day Ahead: Scary Technical Pattern Shaping Up For Bonds

Posted To: MBS CommentaryWhat is a pivot point ? In our primer on the topic, I talk mostly about levels that have repeatedly offered resistance or support to bond yields, but there’s another relevant addition to the definition. Pivot points can also be suggested by a singular bounce at long-term high/low. It’s not necessarily the first bounce that suggests a certain level as a pivot. Rather, it’s when yields return to that level and fail to break on through to the other side. With all of the above in mind, 2018’s previous ceiling at 3.128% (we’ll call it 3.13% ) is shaping up as just such a pivot point. It acted as a floor as long ago as last Thursday, but yields were holding close–something they often do before attempting to break through. Yesterday’s weakness pushed us far enough away from…(read more)Forward this article via email:¬†¬†Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

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Michael Ayoub, Author NMLS ID 6631