MBS Day Ahead: CPI Gets First At-Bat, Then Back to Stocks

Posted To: MBS CommentaryBonds are actively trying to decide who they are and what they want to do with their lives. Will they be barometers of economic growth and inflation? Or will they be gauges of Fed bond buying and US government bond selling (supply and demand)? The answer is “yes” on both accounts, but as is often the case–especially when yields have been holding at lofty levels–there’s a bit of uncertainty as to how much of the future is already priced-in. Put another way, in a rising rate environment where the reasons for the weakness are well known and well anticipated, bonds increasingly ask “are we there yet?” Today brings a fresh update on one of those “reasons for weakness” in the form of October’s CPI data. Inflation has also been holding near post-crisis highs…(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

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Michael Ayoub, Author NMLS ID 6631